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Surface impacts of the Quasi Biennial Oscillation

机译:准两年一次振荡的表面影响

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摘要

Teleconnections between the Quasi Biennial Oscillation (QBO) and the Northern Hemisphere zonally-averaged zonal winds, mean sea level pressure (mslp) and tropical precipitation are explored using regression analysis. A novel technique is introduced to separate responses associated with the stratospheric polar vortex from other underlying mechanisms. A previously reported mslp response in January, with a pattern that resembles the positive phase of the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) under QBO westerly conditions, is confirmed and found to be primarily associated with a QBO modulation of the stratospheric polar vortex. This mid-winter response is relatively insensitive to the exact height of the maximum QBO westerlies and a maximum response occurs with westerlies over a relatively deep range between 10–70 hPa. Two additional mslp responses are reported, in early winter (December) and late winter (February/March). In contrast to the January response the early and late winter responses show maximum sensitivity to the QBO winds at ~ 20 hPa and ~ 70 hPa but are relatively insensitive to the QBO winds in between (~ 50 hPa). The late winter response is centred over the North Pacific and is associated with QBO influence from the lowermost stratosphere at tropical/subtropical latitudes. The early winter response consists of anomalies over both the North Pacific and Europe, but the mechanism is unclear and requires further investigation. QBO anomalies are found in tropical precipitation amounts and a southward shift of the Inter-tropical Convergence Zone under westerly QBO conditions is also evident.
机译:使用回归分析探索了准两年一次涛动(QBO)和北半球纬向平均纬向风,平均海平面压力(mslp)和热带降水之间的遥相关。引入了一种新颖的技术来将与平流层极涡相关的响应与其他潜在机制分开。一月份以前报告的mslp响应得到确认,其模式类似于在QBO西风条件下的北大西洋涛动(NAO)的正相,并且发现它主要与平流层极涡的QBO调制有关。冬季中段响应对最大QBO西风的确切高度相对不敏感,而最大风向发生在10-70 hPa之间的相对较深范围内的西风。据报告,在冬初(12月)和冬末(2月/ 3月)还有另外两个mslp响应。与一月份的响应相反,冬季的早晚响应对〜20 hPa和〜70 hPa的QBO风表现出最大的敏感性,但对介于(〜50 hPa)之间的QBO风相对不敏感。冬季晚期的响应集中在北太平洋,并与热带/亚热带纬度最低平流层的QBO影响有关。冬季初的响应包括北太平洋和欧洲的异常,但机制尚不清楚,需要进一步调查。在热带降水量中发现了QBO异常,并且在西风QBO条件下热带辐合带的向南偏移也很明显。

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